{ "schema_version": "2.4.0", "radar": "fx-event-weather-radar", "radar_name": "FX Event Weather Radar", "generated_at": "2026-07-21T12:47:11.036Z", "display_now": "2026-07-21T12:47:11.036Z", "run_now": "2026-07-21T12:47:11.036Z", "release_id": "fxr-1180d9ef47178a58", "semantic_hash": "1180d9ef47178a580740f8428df46d37dd80cf5960c7dbd01805c6a2d895b6b6", "source_input_hash": "b6a40e35cabf3e25f779c99e2eb58d9c69122b3e573df4c460e27601f3cf443e", "git_sha": "5a70d9f23059d65bc898e794c27f796b0136d224", "generation_mode": "seed", "as_of": "2026-07-01T00:00:00+09:00", "seed_as_of": "2026-07-01T00:00:00+09:00", "source_snapshot_as_of": "2026-07-21T11:57:11.000Z", "calendar_as_of": "2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z", "base_pair": "USDJPY", "supported_pairs": [ "USDJPY" ], "rights_mode": "derived_only", "rights_policy_hash": "cab1c7f3f11b68d63e54dec3fa734362625ac1c48a110735d56c8e4a99c0b1ba", "source_trust_policy": { "principle": "Source authority is explicit and independent from date or time confidence.", "fmp": "FMP observations are provider_reported with aggregator authority.", "official_verified": "official_verified is reserved for records checked against an official publisher." }, "date_policy": { "official_release_datetime": "Official publisher time is usable against display_now.", "official_meeting_window": "Official window is usable; exact release time is not implied.", "estimated_from_official_meeting_window": "Display time remains estimated.", "provider_reported_datetime": "Aggregator-reported time; official verification is not implied.", "seed_placeholder": "Quarantine from operational weather." }, "scoring_policy": { "mode": "heuristic_score", "calibrated": false, "backtested": false, "model_version": "usdjpy-event-weather-heuristic-v1", "trained_through": null, "sample_count": 0, "target": "Probability that the post-event 2h realized USDJPY range exceeds the pair-specific non-event 75th percentile baseline.", "out_of_sample_brier": null, "baseline_brier": null, "calibration_error": null, "per_family_sample_count": {}, "minimum_family_sample_count": 20, "evaluation_status": "insufficient_history", "clock": "display_now", "event_storm_threshold": 70, "operational_horizon_hours": 168, "note": "Current weather uses operational active-72h events and fresh market-stress evidence only." }, "material_policy": { "mode": "immutable_seed_plus_cache_overlay", "calibrated": false, "market_snapshot_mode": "provider_normalized_cache", "note": "Seed baselines are never rewritten by API observations; normalized caches supply explicit overlays." }, "freshness": { "evaluated_at": "2026-07-21T12:47:11.036Z", "production_ready": true, "required_sources_ok": true, "coverage_ready": true, "country_integrity_ready": true, "verification_ready": true, "sources": [ { "id": "seed_event_calendar", "name": "Immutable seed event calendar", "status": "reference", "type": "seed_reference", "required": false, "provider": "seed", "authority": "curated_seed", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 501.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "reference", "session_status": "not_applicable", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "fmp_economic_calendar", "name": "FMP economic calendar", "status": "fresh", "type": "calendar_cache", "required": true, "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "expected_update_interval_hours": 36, "observed_at": "2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 12.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-21T00:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "fixed_interval", "session_status": "not_applicable", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "fmp_us_treasury", "name": "FMP US Treasury rates", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 36.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "us_business_day_aware", "session_status": "business_day", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "fmp_fx_usdjpy", "name": "FMP USDJPY quote", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "expected_update_interval_hours": 6, "observed_at": "2026-07-21T11:57:11.000Z", "age_hours": 0.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-21T11:57:11.000Z", "freshness_policy": "fx_open_max_6h_weekend_friday_close", "session_status": "open", "freshness_deadline": "2026-07-21T17:57:11.000Z", "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "jquants_topix", "name": "J-Quants TOPIX daily bars", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "jquants", "authority": "official_registry", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 21.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "jp_trading_day_aware", "session_status": "business_day", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "official_event_verifications", "name": "Official event verification overlay", "status": "reference", "type": "official_verification_cache", "required": false, "provider": "official-publishers", "authority": "official_publisher", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-07-21T04:03:51.951Z", "age_hours": 8.7, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-21T04:03:51.951Z", "freshness_policy": "reference", "session_status": "not_applicable", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null } ] }, "current_weather": { "weather": "volatile", "label": "Volatile", "label_ja": "荒れやすい", "score": 69, "raw_score": 76, "display_score": 69, "score_kind": "heuristic_score", "raw_weather": "event_storm", "display_weather": "volatile", "confidence_adjustment": { "applied": false, "reason": "classification, source, and timing evidence are operationally eligible" }, "time_window": "active_72h", "basis_event_id": "jp-japan-cpi-2026-06-headline_yoy", "basis_cluster_id": "jp-japan-cpi-2026-06", "next_event_id": "us-initial-jobless-claims-2026-07-release-325e2215432e-initial_claims", "short_explanation": "Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) is operationally active inside 72h.", "active_drivers": [ "BOJ policy watch", "Japan rates", "VIX / equities" ], "market_stress_evidence": [ "US 10Y pressure 85" ], "what_changed": "Current weather excludes forward-calendar, stale, degraded, and needs-classification observations.", "what_to_watch": [ "release time", "headline surprise", "yield reaction", "USDJPY volatility" ] }, "summary": { "event_risk_24h": "Calm", "volatility_pressure_72h": "High", "next_key_event": "Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18)", "next_key_event_id": "us-initial-jobless-claims-2026-07-release-325e2215432e-initial_claims", "next_key_event_at": "2026-07-23T21:30:00+09:00", "next_key_event_date_confidence": "provider_reported_datetime", "next_key_cluster_id": "us-initial-jobless-claims-2026-07-release-325e2215432e", "next_key_component_count": 1, "next_catalyst": "S&P Global Composite PMI (Jul)", "next_catalyst_id": "us-sp-global-composite-pmi-2026-07-release-4c8567ebc7b2-composite_headline", "next_catalyst_at": "2026-07-24T22:45:00+09:00", "next_catalyst_cluster_id": "us-sp-global-composite-pmi-2026-07-release-4c8567ebc7b2", "next_catalyst_component_count": 1, "current_driver": "BOJ policy watch / Japan rates / VIX / equities", "material_pressure_label": "Elevated", "macro_pressure_score": 69, "cross_asset_stress_score": 66, "operational_queue_count": 8, "forward_calendar_count": 100 }, "scope_summary": { "operational_count": 143, "reference_count": 143, "needs_classification_count": 104, "out_of_scope_count": 333, "invalid_count": 0, "top_out_of_scope_reasons": [ { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_energy_inventory", "count": 110 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_government_auction", "count": 91 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_mortgage_series", "count": 36 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_regional_activity", "count": 32 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_housing", "count": 28 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_capital_flow", "count": 15 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_central_bank_balance_sheet", "count": 14 }, { "status": "out_of_scope", "reason": "out_of_scope_inventory", "count": 7 } ] }, "events": [ { "id": "us-unclassified-event-71450263-2026-06-release-ff0dbc35f402-unknown", "canonical_event_id": "us-unclassified-event-71450263-2026-06-release-ff0dbc35f402-unknown", "event_cluster_id": "us-unclassified-event-71450263-2026-06-release-ff0dbc35f402", "event_family": "unclassified-event", "event_type": "unknown", "component": "unknown", "reference_period": "2026-06", "occurrence_key": "2026-06-release-ff0dbc35f402", "scheduled_at": "2026-07-20T23:00:00+09:00", "previous_scheduled_at": null, "scheduled_at_history": [], "schedule_revision": 0, "official_window": null, "provider_event_id": "fmp:release:b821dd45f4e4a636", "provider_release_id": "fmp:release:b821dd45f4e4a636", "provider_observation_id": "fmp:observation:7fe7faec22735fb8", "provider_observation_key": "fmp:series:no-release:us:unclassified-event-71450263:unknown:unclassified-event-unknown-33ab51cb44f4:2026-06", "series_signature": "unclassified-event:unknown:33ab51cb44f4", "audit_observation_id": "fmp:observation:7fe7faec22735fb8", "provider_event_name": "Leading Index MoM (Jun)", "provider_country": "US", "provider_currency": "USD", "name": "Leading Index MoM (Jun)", "country": "US", "region": "US", "pair": "USDJPY", "importance": "medium", "date_confidence": "provider_reported_datetime", "expected_usdjpy_relevance": "Leading Index MoM (Jun) is retained as provider-reported USDJPY volatility context.", "watch_points": [ "provider identity", "country", "release time" ], "source_confidence": 40, "source_type": "aggregator", "source_label": "Financial Modeling Prep", "source_url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar", "source": { "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "publisher": "Financial Modeling Prep", "url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar" }, "time_evidence": { "precision": "provider_reported", "timezone": "America/New_York", "note": "Timestamp reported by FMP and converted to JST; official publisher verification is not implied." }, "verification": { "status": "needs_classification", "verified_against": null, "verified_at": null, "checked_at": null, "expires_at": null, "retrieval_content_hash": null, "parsed_evidence_hash": null, "degraded": false, "degraded_reason": null, "note": "Aggregator-reported observation." }, "classification": { "status": "needs_classification", "rule": "unrecognized_provider_event", "expected_country": null, "allowed_countries": [ "US", "JP" ], "reason": "unrecognized_provider_event" }, "scope": { "status": "needs_classification", "reason": "unrecognized_provider_event", "rule": "ontology_ambiguity" }, "freshness_status": "fresh", "operational_eligible": false, "score_kind": "heuristic_score", "raw_score": 35, "display_score": 35, "raw_weather": "watch", "display_weather": "watch", "display_weather_label": "Watch", "display_weather_label_ja": "注意", "lifecycle": "needs_classification", "hours_from_now": -22.8, "confidence_adjustment": { "applied": false, "reason": "needs_classification events cannot drive High risk or Event Storm" }, "release_time_local": "10:00 AM EDT", "timing_note": null, "matched_provider_event_ids": [] }, { "id": "us-unclassified-event-f1e8305a-2026-07-release-3cade94f92bd-unknown", "canonical_event_id": "us-unclassified-event-f1e8305a-2026-07-release-3cade94f92bd-unknown", "event_cluster_id": "us-unclassified-event-f1e8305a-2026-07-release-3cade94f92bd", "event_family": "unclassified-event", "event_type": "unknown", "component": "unknown", "reference_period": "2026-07", "occurrence_key": "2026-07-release-3cade94f92bd", "scheduled_at": "2026-07-21T21:55:00+09:00", "previous_scheduled_at": null, "scheduled_at_history": [], "schedule_revision": 0, "official_window": null, "provider_event_id": "fmp:release:d1120e25fa62a234", "provider_release_id": "fmp:release:d1120e25fa62a234", "provider_observation_id": "fmp:observation:75d28ab7264e28e3", "provider_observation_key": "fmp:series:no-release:us:unclassified-event-f1e8305a:unknown:unclassified-event-unknown-b0b262cbbcef:2026-07", "series_signature": "unclassified-event:unknown:b0b262cbbcef", "audit_observation_id": "fmp:observation:75d28ab7264e28e3", "provider_event_name": "Redbook YoY (Jul/18)", "provider_country": "US", "provider_currency": "USD", "name": "Redbook YoY (Jul/18)", "country": "US", "region": "US", "pair": "USDJPY", "importance": "low", "date_confidence": "provider_reported_datetime", "expected_usdjpy_relevance": "Redbook YoY (Jul/18) is retained as provider-reported USDJPY volatility context.", "watch_points": [ "provider identity", "country", "release time" ], "source_confidence": 40, "source_type": "aggregator", "source_label": "Financial Modeling Prep", "source_url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar", "source": { "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "publisher": "Financial Modeling Prep", "url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar" }, "time_evidence": { "precision": "provider_reported", "timezone": "America/New_York", "note": "Timestamp reported by FMP and converted to JST; official publisher verification is not implied." }, "verification": { "status": "needs_classification", "verified_against": null, "verified_at": null, "checked_at": null, "expires_at": null, "retrieval_content_hash": null, "parsed_evidence_hash": null, "degraded": false, "degraded_reason": null, "note": "Aggregator-reported observation." }, "classification": { "status": "needs_classification", "rule": "unrecognized_provider_event", "expected_country": null, "allowed_countries": [ "US", "JP" ], "reason": "unrecognized_provider_event" }, "scope": { "status": "needs_classification", "reason": "unrecognized_provider_event", "rule": "ontology_ambiguity" }, "freshness_status": "fresh", "operational_eligible": false, "score_kind": "heuristic_score", "raw_score": 48, "display_score": 39, "raw_weather": "watch", "display_weather": "watch", "display_weather_label": "Watch", "display_weather_label_ja": "注意", "lifecycle": "needs_classification", "hours_from_now": 0.1, "confidence_adjustment": { "applied": true, "reason": "needs_classification events cannot drive High risk or Event Storm" }, "release_time_local": "08:55 AM EDT", "timing_note": null, "matched_provider_event_ids": [] }, { "id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f-exports", "canonical_event_id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f-exports", "event_cluster_id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f", "event_family": "external-balance", "event_type": "activity", "component": "exports", "reference_period": "2026-06", "occurrence_key": "2026-06-release-7feed008b71f", "scheduled_at": "2026-07-22T08:50:00+09:00", "previous_scheduled_at": null, "scheduled_at_history": [], "schedule_revision": 0, "official_window": null, "provider_event_id": "fmp:release:4c7647dab13afaf7", "provider_release_id": "fmp:release:4c7647dab13afaf7", "provider_observation_id": "fmp:observation:b099ba9d7790c7c4", "provider_observation_key": "fmp:series:no-release:jp:external-balance:exports:external-balance-exports:2026-06", "series_signature": "external-balance:exports", "audit_observation_id": "fmp:observation:b099ba9d7790c7c4", "provider_event_name": "Exports YoY (Jun)", "provider_country": "JP", "provider_currency": "JPY", "name": "Exports YoY (Jun)", "country": "JP", "region": "JP", "pair": "USDJPY", "importance": "medium", "date_confidence": "provider_reported_datetime", "expected_usdjpy_relevance": "Exports YoY (Jun) is retained as provider-reported USDJPY volatility context.", "watch_points": [ "release time", "headline surprise", "yield reaction", "USDJPY volatility" ], "source_confidence": 78, "source_type": "aggregator", "source_label": "Financial Modeling Prep", "source_url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar", "source": { "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "publisher": "Financial Modeling Prep", "url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar" }, "time_evidence": { "precision": "provider_reported", "timezone": "Asia/Tokyo", "note": "Timestamp reported by FMP and converted to JST; official publisher verification is not implied." }, "verification": { "status": "provider_reported", "verified_against": null, "verified_at": null, "checked_at": null, "expires_at": null, "retrieval_content_hash": null, "parsed_evidence_hash": null, "degraded": false, "degraded_reason": null, "note": "Aggregator-reported observation." }, "classification": { "status": "classified", "rule": "external_balance_reference", "expected_country": null, "allowed_countries": [ "US", "JP" ], "reason": "country_integrity_confirmed" }, "scope": { "reason": "selected_usdjpy_reference_context", "rule": "reference_event_family_or_component", "status": "reference" }, "freshness_status": "fresh", "operational_eligible": false, "score_kind": "heuristic_score", "raw_score": 66, "display_score": 66, "raw_weather": "volatile", "display_weather": "volatile", "display_weather_label": "Volatile", "display_weather_label_ja": "荒れやすい", "lifecycle": "active_72h", "hours_from_now": 11, "confidence_adjustment": { "applied": false, "reason": "classification, source, and timing evidence are operationally eligible" }, "release_time_local": "08:50 AM GMT+9", "timing_note": null, "matched_provider_event_ids": [] }, { "id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f-imports", "canonical_event_id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f-imports", "event_cluster_id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f", "event_family": "external-balance", "event_type": "activity", "component": "imports", "reference_period": "2026-06", "occurrence_key": "2026-06-release-7feed008b71f", "scheduled_at": "2026-07-22T08:50:00+09:00", "previous_scheduled_at": null, "scheduled_at_history": [], "schedule_revision": 0, "official_window": null, "provider_event_id": "fmp:release:4c7647dab13afaf7", "provider_release_id": "fmp:release:4c7647dab13afaf7", "provider_observation_id": "fmp:observation:5418e1f47e6e8bf6", "provider_observation_key": "fmp:series:no-release:jp:external-balance:imports:external-balance-imports:2026-06", "series_signature": "external-balance:imports", "audit_observation_id": "fmp:observation:5418e1f47e6e8bf6", "provider_event_name": "Imports YoY (Jun)", "provider_country": "JP", "provider_currency": "JPY", "name": "Imports YoY (Jun)", "country": "JP", "region": "JP", "pair": "USDJPY", "importance": "low", "date_confidence": "provider_reported_datetime", "expected_usdjpy_relevance": "Imports YoY (Jun) is retained as provider-reported USDJPY volatility context.", "watch_points": [ "release time", "headline surprise", "yield reaction", "USDJPY volatility" ], "source_confidence": 70, "source_type": "aggregator", "source_label": "Financial Modeling Prep", "source_url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar", "source": { "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "publisher": "Financial Modeling Prep", "url": "https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/economics-calendar" }, "time_evidence": { "precision": "provider_reported", "timezone": "Asia/Tokyo", "note": "Timestamp reported by FMP and converted to JST; official publisher verification is not implied." }, "verification": { "status": "provider_reported", "verified_against": null, "verified_at": null, "checked_at": null, "expires_at": null, "retrieval_content_hash": null, "parsed_evidence_hash": null, "degraded": false, "degraded_reason": null, "note": "Aggregator-reported observation." }, "classification": { "status": "classified", "rule": "external_balance_reference", "expected_country": null, "allowed_countries": [ "US", "JP" ], "reason": "country_integrity_confirmed" }, "scope": { "reason": "selected_usdjpy_reference_context", "rule": "reference_event_family_or_component", "status": "reference" }, "freshness_status": "fresh", "operational_eligible": false, "score_kind": "heuristic_score", "raw_score": 59, "display_score": 59, "raw_weather": "volatile", "display_weather": "volatile", "display_weather_label": "Volatile", "display_weather_label_ja": "荒れやすい", "lifecycle": "active_72h", "hours_from_now": 11, "confidence_adjustment": { "applied": false, "reason": "classification, source, and timing evidence are operationally eligible" }, "release_time_local": "08:50 AM GMT+9", "timing_note": null, "matched_provider_event_ids": [] }, { "id": "jp-external-balance-2026-06-release-7feed008b71f-trade_balance", "canonical_event_id": 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"us-unclassified-event-b2fee6bc-no-reference-release-f078039cf454-unknown", "us-unclassified-event-b7725cea-no-reference-release-f078039cf454-unknown", "us-unclassified-event-b98c3c06-no-reference-release-f078039cf454-unknown", "us-unclassified-event-e114f9fe-no-reference-release-f078039cf454-unknown" ], "needs_reverification": [], "stale_observations": [], "archived": [] }, "materials": [ { "id": "us-yields", "name": "US 10Y yield", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "high", "pressure_score": 85, "why_it_matters": "Rate sensitivity is the main channel connecting US macro releases to USDJPY volatility.", "latest_observation": "FMP-derived US yield pressure is high; raw rates are withheld by the data-rights policy.", "source_type": "aggregator_observation", "source_label": "FMP treasury-rates", "observed_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "freshness_status": "fresh" }, { "id": "fed-path", "name": "Fed path repricing", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "elevated", "pressure_score": 78, "why_it_matters": "Policy-rate expectations shape dollar rate support and event reaction persistence.", "latest_observation": "FMP-derived curve context is available; raw rates are withheld by the data-rights policy.", "source_type": "aggregator_observation", "source_label": "FMP treasury-rates", "observed_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "freshness_status": "fresh" }, { "id": "boj-policy", "name": "BOJ policy watch", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "watch", "pressure_score": 64, "why_it_matters": "BOJ communication can change yen rate sensitivity even when US events dominate.", "latest_observation": "Official BOJ schedule is retained as seed context.", "source_type": "official_calendar", "source_label": null, "observed_at": null, "freshness_status": "reference" }, { "id": "japan-rates", "name": "Japan rates", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "watch", "pressure_score": 58, "why_it_matters": "JGB reaction helps separate yen-specific pressure from broad dollar moves.", "latest_observation": "Seed baseline; no current JGB observation is claimed.", "source_type": "seed_baseline", "source_label": null, "observed_at": null, "freshness_status": "reference" }, { "id": "dxy", "name": "DXY", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "elevated", "pressure_score": 72, "why_it_matters": "Broad dollar confirmation can show whether USDJPY movement is pair-specific or dollar-wide.", "latest_observation": "Seed baseline; no current DXY observation is claimed.", "source_type": "seed_baseline", "source_label": null, "observed_at": null, "freshness_status": "reference" }, { "id": "risk-sentiment", "name": "VIX / equities", "pair": "USDJPY", "pressure_level": "elevated", "pressure_score": 68, "why_it_matters": "Risk tone can amplify or absorb event-driven FX moves.", "latest_observation": "J-Quants-derived TOPIX stress is elevated; raw index values are withheld by the data-rights policy.", "source_type": "official_registry_observation", "source_label": "J-Quants TOPIX daily 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"condition": "If data is close to consensus", "watch": [ "prior revisions", "wage growth", "press commentary", "cross-asset confirmation" ] }, { "id": "boj-watch", "label_ja": "日銀警戒が強まった場合に見るもの", "condition": "If BOJ policy watch intensifies", "watch": [ "JGB yield reaction", "Japan CPI details", "governor commentary", "yen cross confirmation" ] } ], "endpoints": [ { "path": "/agent.json", "description": "RASK agent guide, boundaries, tool contracts, and read order." }, { "path": "/.well-known/signal-radar.json", "description": "RASK Signal Radar discovery and endpoint map." }, { "path": "/.well-known/agent-gateway.json", "description": "Static same-origin Agent Gateway manifest." }, { "path": "/data/v1/latest.json", "description": "Current-time FX event weather snapshot." }, { "path": "/data/v1/priority-queue.json", "description": "Operational queue separated from the forward calendar." }, { "path": "/data/v1/diff/latest.json", "description": "Diff against the prior published 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"session_status": "not_applicable", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "fmp_us_treasury", "name": "FMP US Treasury rates", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 36.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "us_business_day_aware", "session_status": "business_day", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "fmp_fx_usdjpy", "name": "FMP USDJPY quote", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "fmp", "authority": "aggregator", "expected_update_interval_hours": 6, "observed_at": "2026-07-21T11:57:11.000Z", "age_hours": 0.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-21T11:57:11.000Z", "freshness_policy": "fx_open_max_6h_weekend_friday_close", "session_status": "open", "freshness_deadline": "2026-07-21T17:57:11.000Z", "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "jquants_topix", "name": "J-Quants TOPIX daily bars", "status": "fresh", "type": "market_cache", "required": true, "provider": "jquants", "authority": "official_registry", "expected_update_interval_hours": null, "observed_at": "2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z", "age_hours": 21.8, "stale": false, "degraded": false, "last_good_retained": false, "freshness": "2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z", "freshness_policy": "jp_trading_day_aware", "session_status": "business_day", "freshness_deadline": null, "last_attempt_at": null, "last_successful_at": null, "degraded_reason": null }, { "id": "official_event_verifications", "name": "Official event verification overlay", "status": "reference", "type": 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